For a couple of months NYMEX crude oil was consolidating in between the key weekly moving averages. In the first week of July the oil has broken out from the consolidation on the downside. The daily Bollinger bands, which had become fl at, are expanding; suggesting that the move can continue on the downside. The short-term as well as medium-term momentum indicators are in a bearish mode. In terms of wave structure the oil is forming an impulse on the downside and the fifth leg is forming on the downside. Overall, the oil can continue to slide till $49.85 and $46.50.

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(Disclaimer: The above chart shown is for study purpose only and not for trading decision)

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